Semicon Industry Group Sees Hope After 2009

Semiconductor Industry Association predicts better times nearing

1 min read

The downturn may be nearing for the semiconductor sector according to the trade group that monitors its health.

The Semiconductor Industry Association (SIA) announced Friday that the manufacturers it represents should rebound in 2010 after slumping badly through the rest of 2009. The SIA said it is projecting sector sales to reach US $195.6 billion for the current year, a decline of 21.3 percent from sales of $248.6 billion the previous year.

The good news in the brief semi-annual estimate is that the SIA sees sales reaching $208.3 billion next year, a jump of 6.5 percent, followed by another 6.5 percent increase the year after, which would peg the income from microchips and processors climbing to $221.9 billion.

The SIA is the organization that represents the public business interests of members such as IBM, Intel, and Texas Instruments.

The Conversation (0)
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Emily Cooper
Green

Perhaps the most far-reaching technological achievement over the last 50 years has been the steady march toward ever smaller transistors, fitting them more tightly together, and reducing their power consumption. And yet, ever since the two of us started our careers at Intel more than 20 years ago, we’ve been hearing the alarms that the descent into the infinitesimal was about to end. Yet year after year, brilliant new innovations continue to propel the semiconductor industry further.

Along this journey, we engineers had to change the transistor’s architecture as we continued to scale down area and power consumption while boosting performance. The “planar” transistor designs that took us through the last half of the 20th century gave way to 3D fin-shaped devices by the first half of the 2010s. Now, these too have an end date in sight, with a new gate-all-around (GAA) structure rolling into production soon. But we have to look even further ahead because our ability to scale down even this new transistor architecture, which we call RibbonFET, has its limits.

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