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Energy-Efficient Appliances With Minds Of Their Own

Ten residences now under construction in Masdar City, Abu Dhabi, will be getting home appliances—refrigerators, cooktops, and clothes washers/dryers—with minds of their own. These appliances will be talking to the electric grid and the grid will talk back. Based on what they’re hearing, the appliances will adjust their behavior, with the goal of minimizing their demands at peak energy times and therefore saving their owners money. It’s an experiment designed cooperatively by Masdar, an Abu Dhabi based renewable energy company, and GE Consumer & Industrial. Good for the environment, good for the pocketbook, all good, right?

Uh, maybe. Unless I imagine myself as the homeowner in the midst of one of these supersmart homes, trying to inject myself into the dialog.

Grid, “energy prices are up.”

Refrigerator, “OK, raising internal temperature”

Me, low on ice and expecting guests for dinner, “Uh, does this mean I have to drive to the store and buy ice?”

Grid, “energy prices will drop at 11 pm”

Clothes dryer, “drying cycle paused until 11:05”

Child, “Mom, what do you mean my soccer uniform is wet? I need it now!”

GE does envision an override button, that is, the appliances will respond automatically, but if you happen to notice that the water you put on for pasta has stopped boiling, you can hit an override button. It’s highly unlikely, however, that I’d notice things weren’t going as expected until the guests arrived/the soccer game was about to start/I had called the family to dinner.

So I’d like to add one little tiny feature to this new technology—ask permission first. Text me, tweet me, or send me a message on Facebook—it shouldn’t be too hard in the midst of all this other communication these appliances will be doing to make sure they simply say please.

Long Live Bell Labs

It didn't take long for Wikipedia's Bell Labs entry to be updated to include a seventh Nobel Prize for the storied organization.

1937 Clinton J. Davisson (the wave nature of matter)
1956 John Bardeen, Walter H. Brattain, and William Shockley (transistors)
1977 Philip W. Anderson (electronic structure of glass)
1978 Arno A. Penzias and Robert W. Wilson (cosmic microwave background radiation)
1997 Steven Chu (cooling and trapping atoms)
1998 Horst Stormer, Robert Laughlin, and Daniel Tsui (fractional quantum Hall effect)
2009 Willard S. Boyle, George E. Smith (CCD)

The first six are included in a memorable and entertaining video that the PR department at Lucent Technologies produced during the dot-com bubble, when Lucent and the rest of the telecommunications world was riding high. (It didn't take long for Lucent to be brought down low by the corresponding bust, and right around the time the next bubble was at its height, it was bought by Alcatel.)

The digital camera, among many other innovations, couldn't have happened without CCD (though a lot of them use CMOS these days). The seminal, if not the first, digital camera was based around Kodak's 1986 KAF-1300 Image Sensor, which made Spectrum's list of 25 Microchips That Shook the World."

Kodak's DCS 100 cost about $13 000 (in 1986 dollars), but digital cameras are so cheap and ubiquitious these days that this month's Spectrum do-it-yourself project, a Google Street Maps-like camera array, can use eight of them (and set you back a mere $200 for all of them).

As the 2009 prize shows, Bell Labs' innovations have long outlived the original AT&T and Lucent, an idea that was driven home by technology historian Michael Riordan in a July 2005 Spectrum feature, "The End of AT&T: Ma Bell may be gone, but its innovations are everywhere."

Spectrum's coverage of Bell Labs is too sprawling to offer in its totality, but the above list of Bell Labs' Nobel Prizes wouldn't be complete without the one that got away, memorably described in another Riordan feature, "How Bell Labs Missed the Microchip."

A trip down this particular memory lane also wouldn't be complete without at least one reflection from one-time Bell Labs executive and all-time Spectrum columnist, Bob Lucky: "When Giants Walked the Earth."

Congratulations, Willard Boyle and George Smith. And thank you, Bell Labs. May we somehow, somewhere, someday see another such engine of innovation.

Back In The Clear: Airport Security Service To Resume Operations

Today the New York Times reports that Clear, a company that advertised itself as letting you sail through the security line, is coming back. The company, which died of unknown causes back in June, could resume operations by the “holidays.”

Danny Sullivan at was a believer:

Clear, or Fly Clear as it was sometimes known, allowed people to bypass regular security at some airports for an annual fee. I’ve been a regular user since it started. In fact, I was probably one of the program’s most successful affiliates. I’d written about it from an early point, and so many people used my code to get an extra month (and giving me one in the process) that my card was good through 2064.

Clear evolved from the Transportation Security Administration's Registered Traveler program, which lets companies establish exclusive security lines at airports. Verified Identity Pass, Inc., Clear's parent company, gobbled up the largest market share with 18 of the 21 airports with reserved security lines. Lockheed Martin is the systems intregrator, which I assume means they transistioned the technology out of DHS? Gave Clear lots of money? Who knows what's what in the Homeland Security sausage factory. But I digress.

I was getting all excited about maybe shelling out the $199 for a Clear card, but the more I read, the less I understand.

First off, the Clear card merely lets you cut in front of others in line. It does not let you skip the shoes-and-baggie part. According to one experienced Clear user in the techcrunch comments section, Clear doesn't mean you can board with more than the prescribed 3-1-1:

Just so folks understand – you didn’t get to skip the security “experience”. You simply had priotity access to the checkpoint itself. Still had to remove your shoes, take off your coat, your 3-1-1 plastic bag, laptop out, etc.

So are you "clear" or aren’t you? Now that they have your fingerprints and eye-scans in a database, you get to skip the line, but you’re not so verified that they’d have confidence in you not to smuggle a bomb into your laptop or face cream? And why do you need to show your card if you're also swiping a fingerprint at the kiosk and showing a government-issued ID? For all that, you don't even get to bring an extra ounce of shampoo.

OK, so even if the only benefit is skipping the 50-minute line at Dulles (shudder), I understand the $199 fee. I’d be willing to shell out some cash and my digital identifiers if I could avoid having to remove my shoes, take out my laptop, take out A/V equipment, take off my coat, place my pathetic baggie into a separate bin (god I’m exhausted just thinking about it). But why do we need fingerprints and iris scans on top of the $199 to slip through security slightly faster than a 1K Platinum Global Elite Demiurge Ubermensch?

The more I think about it, the more paranoid it makes me. I realize that there’s only so much privacy you can realistically expect from now on. Even if I don’t cough up my finger- and eye-prints, my online medical records will still be stolen, and if they’re not online, some enterprising hobo will still find them in the trash can out back of the doctor’s office. And for all you off-the-grid militiamen out there, cancelling your doctors appointments won’t help either: In 2006, USA Today reported that 87 percent of Americans could be identified by records listing solely their birthdate, gender and ZIP code. The only thing that makes me feel better is that there is still safety in numbers.

So now for my questions to you, dear reader.

1) Do any Spectrum Online readers have Clear memberships? Is it worth it to you? How long did the fingerprint- and eye-scan process take? Was it convenient, or did you have to schlep to an anonymous office park in McLean, Virginia?

2) Is my contention reasonable: that in an age where everyone is online and catastrophically oversharing, the information pool is so huge and overwhelming that the probability of MY information being stolen is statistically insignificant?

3) In terms of airport security bypassing systems (like the UK’s Iris Recognition Immigration System (IRIS), CLEAR and FLO) do you prefer a card, or an IRIS-like system where you can forget the card and the picture ID and instead go into a small room where you look into a mirror and your eye is scanned and your eye is the only ID you need? What’s the word on laser scarring on the inside of your retina?

The Robot Insect Race

Last week, Danger Room reported that DARPA's cyber-insect race has yielded a tangible result: a live beetle that can be steered remotely.

And there's video:

Sharon Weinberger at Danger Room reports:

Berkeley scientists appear to have demonstrated an impressive degree of control over their insect’s flight; they report being able to use an implant for neural stimulation of the beetle’s brain to start, stop, and control the insect in flight. They could even command turns by stimulating the basalar muscles.

Spectrum reported on the topic back in February, when DARPA-funded researchers presented a cyborg moth outfitted with a brand new radio at the normally bone-dry International Solid State Circuits Conference.

DARPA is funding all kinds of work that will result in cybernetic insects, or hybrids of biological and electronic bugs, whose implanted electronic controls make them respond to remote control. The defense community is interested in this new toy because it wants the animal-machine hybrids to transmit data from mounted sensors, like video and audio surveillance or gas sensors.

The main part of the research is growing living pupae around MEMS electronics. That way, once the moth or beetle grows up, it can be remote controlled by sending impulses to the implanted electronics. You can see in this video that applying voltages causes the insect to feel the need to turn left, turn right, stop and start flying.

To achieve that goal, HI-MEMS research is split along three separate tracks: growing MEMS-insect hybrids, developing steering electronics for the insects, and finding ways to harvest energy from the them to power the cybernetics. Moths and beetles have been grown with implanted electronics, and both have been shown in flight, but none have yet been demonstrated that can have a long lived energy source.

Last year, the New Scientist got some video of the cyborg moth, a precursor to the cyborg beetle (still attached to a tether as opposed to the free range cyber-beetle). As Sandrine Ceurstemont reports, "combining living and machine components could eventually make robotic systems more effective."

How nice for them. I think everyone needs to take a deep breath and read this.

Why the Evidence of Water on the Moon is Bad News

The big science story this week was the confirmation that the moon is covered in water. And not just in the shadowed, polar craters where scientists suspected it, but all over. Water on the moon--that has to be great news, right?

Not really. While unexpected discoveries are always interesting scientifically, this one is actually bad news for space exploration. It would have been better if lunar water wasn't quite so ubiquitous.

When I previewed NASA's LCROSS mission last March, I noted that its purpose was not really in determining whether the moon had water, but in determining how the water was distributed. Even though LCROSS is still scheduled to smash into the Moon's surface in a couple weeks, it now seems likely that it will only confirm this week's findings: that there are trace amounts of water everywhere on the moon.

For human exploration, highly concentrated deposits of ice would be a much more useful distribution. The possibility of mining water on the moon has often been cited as both the means and the end for sending people back to the moon (Bill Stone, for example, has been a big proponent). Even with the possibility of big deposits, though, I was always skeptical that mining lunar water ice could ever be efficient enough to be worthwhile. Now, it seems unlikely that any usable amount of water can be extracted from the surface. Geologist Robert Clark estimated that one ton of lunar soil might yield "as much as 32 ounces of water" (a little less than a liter). That means it will take a lot of work to get a little liquid, even with the help of innovative suction robots.

I'm now interested to see how this finding is used as political spin. Back in the Bush years, NASA's Constellation program promised a fully-functioning moon base within two decades (the program continues to move forward, but its future remains in limbo). Constellation's ultimate destination, at least in theory, was Mars. But, in practice, the moon quickly became the primary target. The agency then needed to come up with a bunch of justifications for going there, after the fact. The prospect of mining lunar water, always seemed l one of these. Regardless of the impracticality of collecting it, the water finding may energize Moon proponents. A article declared that "Water Makes Moon Suddenly a More Attractive Destination." The New Scientist  similarly raised hopes:

Newly confirmed water on the moon could help sustain lunar astronauts and even propel missions to Mars, if harvesting it can be made practical.

In this summer's Mars special report, we examined whether going back to the moon before Mars is even necessary. While a moon program may make us better prepared for the longer and difficult journey, it could  easily turn into a wasteful disatrction that eats up valuable time and resources. Frankly, the chance of finding evidence of life on Mars will always make it a more attractive destination than our close, but definitely dead, satellite. And if it's water you're really after? Mars has more of that, too.

Top Image: NASA's Cassini spacecraft observations of the moon on Aug. 19, 1999 show water and hydroxyl at all latitudes on the surface, even areas exposed to direct sunlight. [Credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech/USGS] Middle Image: These images show a very young lunar crater on the side of the moon that faces away from Earth. [Credit: ISRO/NASA/JPL-Caltech/USGS/Brown Univ.] Bottom Image: A fresh, 6-meter-wide (20-foot-wide) crater on Mars on Oct. 18, 2008, (left) and on Jan. 14, 2009. [Credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech/University of Arizona]

If There's An Innovation Gap, Where Is It?

A BusinessWeek article this week, "Turning Research into Inventions and Jobs," asserts that there's plenty of basic research in the world. What there's not enough of, the authors assert, is products - products that exploit this research.

But too often overlooked in discussions over research spending is a fundamental fact: We've already got an abundance of research. The next transistor, semiconductor, or breakthrough in MRI technology may already have been discovered. The problem is, we've dropped the ball on translating this science into invention. The vast majority of great research is languishing in filing cabinets, unable to be harnessed by the entrepreneurs and scientist-businesspeople who can set it free. We consider this shortfall academia's equivalent of Alaska's "bridge to nowhere."

The article, by Vivek Wadhwa and Robert E. Litan, was written in disagreement with an earlier BusinessWeek article, "How Science Can Create Millions of New Jobs," which asserted that "Reigniting basic research can repair the broken U.S. business model and put Americans back to work." I think Judy Estrin might agree with that, and she would certainly disagree with the new article.

Almost exactly a year ago, Estrin's book, Closing the Innovation Gap, was published by McGraw-Hill Press. Andy Grove of Intel called it “A passionate look at innovation by a proven innovator concerned about the level of short-sightedness surrounding us.” Grove is right — it's a topic Estrin is remarkably qualified to talk about. She's now at Stanford, but back in the day she co-founded seven different technology companies. When one of them was bought by networking goliath Cisco Systems she became its chief technology officer. (Chapter Two of the book, "The Innovation Ecosystem," is available here.)

I did a long podcast interview with Estrin when the book came out. In it, she asserts just the opposite of what Wadhwa and Litan says. Her view is that there is a dearth of fundamental research, in fact, that we're still living off the seed corn of the 1960s and 1970s - and it's running out. Here's a snippet from the interview.

SPECTRUM: Engineering and innovation are in your blood. Your mother was the second woman ever to get a Ph.D. in electrical engineering.... And your father taught at UCLA — he helped start up the computer science department. You went there in the early 1970s; you were on Vint Cerf's research team as the Internet Protocol was being invented there. But you say in your book that was also the time innovation started to decline.
ESTRIN: It started in the 70's with a narrowing of the horizons in the research community first and that's where we began to pull back on planting the seeds for the future. It came in a variety of ways, it came in terms of government funding for research, not just the magnitude of the funding but how it was allocated, and the types of funding that were coming out of the government agencies, and how it was allocated amongst different fields of science.
But the other thing that happened in the 70s and 80s is that corporations began to focus on becoming more and more efficient and more and more productive; a good thing and on the surface you would say. Of course they need to do that but as they did and as they started to focus on productivity and efficiency they essentially took all the slop out of the system and often innovation happens, comes out of some of those inefficiencies. And they became so efficient that people began to invest just for the short term and in order to have sustainable innovation, you have to be wiling to invest in things that you don't know what the outcome is going to be, that you don't know is going to succeed. And as corporations became more efficient they cut back on investing in things that didn't have direct correlation to their quarterly or this year's earnings.
So we stopped planting seeds for the future not just in research but in corporations for a while. The startup ecosystem was still thriving, so a lot of innovation was coming out of Silicon valley and other places where startups thrived.
But when we hit 2000 and the bursting of the internet bubble, the corporate scandals and the tragedy of 9/11 we saw a shift here in Silicon Valley of people becoming more risk averse and more short term focused. So as a result I have people coming and saying to me “well come on Judy there's been lots of innovation over the last couple of years look at the iPod, look at consumer internet, look at what's happened in biotech.”
And yes there is still innovation going on my claim is not that there is not but the innovation we're doing is tending to be more incremental and is built upon years and years of seeds that were planted but we're not continuing to plant enough seeds to sustain us out 10, 20, 30 years from now.
I have a quote in the book that I really liked. When I interviewed Mark Andressen, who developed the initial browser, he was telling me how quickly he was able to bring the browser to the market, and I looked at him and just said “That was an incredibly short time” and he said “you know the browser we developed was just the icing on a cake that had been baking for 30 years.”

Saudi Arabia Aims to Become Data Visualization Hub

Saudi Arabia's biggest experiment in higher education, the King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, has just opened its doors to an international student body, as we reported earlier this month. The King has gambled billions of dollars on raising a university out of the desert that he hopes will compete against other top-notch institutions worldwide. Intellectual freedom isn't exactly the first thing that jumps to mind when one thinks of Saudi Arabia, and for a country whose technological contributions basically begin and end with oil, the hurdle is significant.

In recognition of this challenge, the king has recruited an international collection of about 70 faculty members (rumor: an assistant professor makes about US $200 000) and built laboratories with staggering price tags. The campus supercomputer, Shaheen, is the fastest in the Middle East and had a starting price of about $50 million, which will certainly grow. A nanofabrication clean room, one of the cleanest clean rooms in academia, came with a price tag that was “much, much larger than Shaheen,” according to Khaled Salama, an electrical engineering professor at KAUST.

I'm attending the inauguration ceremonies this week and got a quick tour of some of the university's laboratories, including the supercomputer and the clean room. From my perspective, if you've seen one clean room, you've seen them all. What did draw my attention were the visualization labs, which are using Shaheen's computing power to add a visual dimension to large data sets. The first example I'm posting here is of a visualization of the human brain, where researchers are attempting to trace how signals travel between different regions by mapping the flow of water through the brain.  


Million Dollar Netflix Prize Won

At last, it's official: the research team known as BellKor has won the $1 million Netflix Prize by improving the accuracy of the Netflix recommender algorithm by 10 percent. It won because it submitted its entry 20 minutes before that of Ensemble, the only other team to make the 10 percent mark.

Netflix sure got its money's worth. CEO, Reed Hastings told the New York Times, “You look at the cumulative hours and you're getting Ph.D.'s for a dollar an hour.” Beyond the technical harvest, Netflix got the kind of halo effect that no company has enjoyed since 1987, when IBM's “Deep Blue” machine won a chess match against then-world champion Gary Kasparov.

Bellkor and Ensemble were both coalitions formed by teams that had to join forces to stay in the race. BellKor's own core, though, had always been the team to beat. Lead members Robert M. Bell, Chris Volinsky, and Yehuda Koren began their work at Bell Laboratories, where the first two still work; Koren has since joined Yahoo Research, in Israel. They snagged the competition's first, $50 000 milestone by achieving the best improvement, short of 10 percent, by a certain date. The three scientists, together with Jim Bennett, then a vice-president at Netflix, described their work for IEEE Spectrum, in “The Million-Dollar Programming Prize” (May 2009). 

Of course, Netflix has launched a follow-up competition. This time, though, in the interest of brevity, it has set no particular target, deciding instead to  award $500 000 to whoever's in the lead after six months and an equal sum to the leader after 18 months.

The competition has advanced the entire field of recommender systems, to the benefit of other companies.  Earlier this year Tom Conrad, CTO of, the Internet radio company, told IEEE Spectrum that “we have benefited by peering inside the approaches tried by some of the thinking that went into the Netflix prize. We have incorporated some ideas into our own system.”

DOE Mad Science Wing Finally Gets a Director

On Friday, President Obama announced his pick to head the Advanced Research Projects Agency Energy (ARPA-E); Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory director Arun Majumdar.

ARPA-E, a high-risk research incubator in the U.S. Department of Energy, was signed into law in 2007 but languished for two years as funding and interest lagged. In February, the incoming Obama administration lavished $415 million on the fledgling organization.

So what’s next for Majumdar? The new director will need to be confirmed, a process that will take at least one month. By the time he is confirmed, it will likely be time for the house to adjourn for winter. In a report released in July, former HSARPA director Jane "Xan" Alexander laid out a roadmap for success for the new director.

ARPA-E was recommended in an influential 2005 report co-authored by Obama Energy Secretary and Nobel prize winning physicist Steven Chu, and signed into law in 2007. The agency is modeled on the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), credited with developing the Internet. ARPA-E’s goal is to create game-changing energy technologies from high-risk research gambles. Other agencies have adopted DARPA’s framework, leading to the creation of IARPA (Intelligence) and HSARPA (Homeland Security). With a director who reports only to the Energy secretary and a lean core staff with a personnel cap of 120 directly responsible for all funding, such agencies award grants fast and is free of the bureaucracy that famously slows government to a crawl.

The plans are there, and the money is there, and now a new director is in place. My advice? The first step needs to be to get your own web site.

FCC to Tackle Internet Rules

FCC Chairman Julius Genachowski announced that the Commission will kick off a rulemaking proceeding on Internet regulation shortly, as soon as the formality of a vote is completed. The long-anticipated announcement has more to do with cleaning up the state of Internet regulation, which the previous chairman left in a bit of a mess. The FCC is supposed to make rules in public proceedings before enforcing them, but the previous commission slapped Comcast's wrists with a set of rules that it had declared unenforceable when they were written, the Four Freedoms that make up the Internet Policy Statement. 

As expected, the Genachowski announced that he intends to propose an anti-discrimination rule and a transparency rule. These had been considered mutually exclusive, so the combination is a bit of a surprise.

As the purpose of the speech was to announce the rule making procedure and not the precise nature of the rules themselves, it wasn't the most stirring piece of oratory. There were some curious moments early in the narrative when the chairman walked through the history of ARPANET and touted the architectural wonder of the Internet (the speech is on a new web site the FCC created today,

Historian John Naughton describes the Internet as an attempt to answer the following question: How do you design a network that is “future proof” -- that can support the applications that today’s inventors have not yet dreamed of? The solution was to devise a network of networks that would not be biased in favor of any particular application. The Internet’s creators didn’t want the network architecture -- or any single entity -- to pick winners and losers. Because it might pick the wrong ones. Instead, the Internet’s open architecture pushes decision-making and intelligence to the edge of the network -- to end users, to the cloud, to businesses of every size and in every sector of the economy, to creators and speakers across the country and around the globe. In the words of Tim Berners-Lee, the Internet is a “blank canvas” -- allowing anyone to contribute and to innovate without permission.

While this is pretty much standard Internet mythology, it's not accurate enough for regulatory work. Network engineers know that no single-service network, which is what the Internet has become post-BGP, can ever be application neutral. The Internet's best-effort delivery service is fine for generic content applications like the Web, and much less fine for real-time services and for high bandwidth content applications like P2P file sharing. There is no such thing as a truly neutral network, and we can only approach neutrality to the extent that the network can tailor delivery services to the needs of applications. That's why we have Quality of Service logic in IEEE 802 LANs, WLANs, WPANs, and WWANs. One-size-fits-all is a myth. A network with no QoS does pick winners and losers, make no mistake about it.

The chairman's lack of precision is par for the course in political circles, but there's a significant danger to innovation from trying to apply these metaphoric descriptions too literally. When your network has a structural bias in favor of a particular class of applications, it needs to permit management practices to overcome it. It's not clear that the FCC has the digital chops to appreciate this.

So the shoe has finally dropped and the FCC is on the road to fulfilling President Obama's campaign promise to protect the open Internet. This could result in clarity, certainty, and a good environment for investment, or it could degenerate into a circus as the Comcast proceeding did in 2008. Chairman Genachowski is a bright and earnest public servant, the odds are better than even money that the rulemaking will not do significant harm, but you never know how these things will turn out until the votes are counted. Those of us who do network engineering for a living need to keep a close watch on this proceeding.


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