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What Is the Silly Half-Life of Today's Technology?

Looking Around And Guessing What Will Seem Silly by 2030

1 min read
What Is the Silly Half-Life of Today's Technology?

There was an article in yesterday's London Telegraph that listed 50 current "technologies" (the definition used is a bit of a stretch as you will see) that in the next twenty years or so will look absolutely archaic if not out right silly.

The Telegraph article says,

"There can be little doubt: yesterday’s cutting edge technology looks silly to today’s children and much of today’s technology will look silly to tomorrow’s children. Here’s a list of 50 technological advances, past and present, that will have young people asking: "You used to have to do what?"

The list includes everything from TV schedules (TV on demand will do them in) to paper business cards (the prediction is we will all have wireless business cards in the future) to fillings in teeth (we'll simply have our teeth removed and replaced by ones grown from stem cells).

Many of the items on the Telegraph's list are IT/software intensive in nature. I wonder if software systems will be that much more reliable in 2030 than they are today?

I hope so, but I am not betting on it.

 

The Conversation (0)

Why Functional Programming Should Be the Future of Software Development

It’s hard to learn, but your code will produce fewer nasty surprises

11 min read
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A plate of spaghetti made from code
Shira Inbar
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You’d expectthe longest and most costly phase in the lifecycle of a software product to be the initial development of the system, when all those great features are first imagined and then created. In fact, the hardest part comes later, during the maintenance phase. That’s when programmers pay the price for the shortcuts they took during development.

So why did they take shortcuts? Maybe they didn’t realize that they were cutting any corners. Only when their code was deployed and exercised by a lot of users did its hidden flaws come to light. And maybe the developers were rushed. Time-to-market pressures would almost guarantee that their software will contain more bugs than it would otherwise.

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