In mid-October, the University of Hawaii’s Pan-STARRS1 telescope discovered an asteroid on its way out of our solar system. The trajectory of the rock, and its high velocity, showed that it wasn't something from around here—it had come flying in from interstellar space, with an origin somewhere in the direction of Vega. It's likely that this asteroid has spent the past several hundred million years alone in deep space, and its chance encounter with our sun is just a brief one, before it continues its lonely journey across the galaxy. Its discoverers named it ‘Oumuamua.
As far as we know, ‘Oumuamua is the first interstellar asteroid we've ever seen, and obviously, it would be amazing if we could somehow go check it out. At the moment, it's out past the orbit of Mars and getting farther away—it's traveling just over 38 kilometers every second, which is stupendously fast, even for space things. Usually, when planning a mission to an asteroid, you'd have plenty of time to plan and prepare but at this point every second counts—and we're running out of time.
A group of researchers from the Initiative for Interstellar Studies (i4is) published a paper to arXiv earlier this month taking a preliminary look at some realistic options that we might have for getting a spacecraft near enough to ‘Oumuamua to learn something about it. The good news is that if we act fast, we might be able to get there without inventing warp drive first.
For some context, here's a video that NASA JPL put together about ‘Oumuamua:
Putting aside for now the fact that this thing bears more than a passing resemblance to Rama, you'll notice that ‘Oumuamua has already made a swing around the Sun. Right now, it's pointing about 20 degrees up above the plane of the planets and heading toward the constellation Pegasus. It’s approximately 200 million kilometers from Earth.
As it heads out of the solar system, it'll slow down a bit, to something like 26 km/s. This is significantly faster than any man-made spacecraft: the fastest man-made object is the Voyager 1 spacecraft, which is presently exiting the solar system at 16.6 km/s. It only got going that fast thanks to some carefully planned gravity assist maneuvers around both Jupiter and Saturn, though: the fastest spacecraft that we've ever launched was New Horizons, which used a three stage Atlas V plus five solid rocket boosters to hit 16.26 km/s as it left Earth.*
Since we're already late for a ‘Oumuamua rendezvous, we have some catching up to do, and that means a spacecraft that puts both Voyager and New Horizons to shame. ‘Oumuamua will exit the solar system going 26 km/s, so slightly faster than that is the absolute minimum speed that we'd need to hit to catch it, and that's only if we launch something next year and then wait about 20 years for the intercept.
Obviously, a 2018 launch isn't realistic at all, and the longer we wait, the worse the numbers get: if it takes 5 years to design, construct, and launch a spacecraft (a very aggressive estimate) and we want the intercept to happen within 15 years of launch, our spacecraft will need to be traveling at around 33 km/s. The figure below shows a range of launch dates and mission durations, with the required velocity to make them work. Note that the lines show excess velocity—how much faster the spacecraft would need to be traveling to intercept ‘Oumuamua. The absolute velocity is an additional 26 km/s, which is the speed of ‘Oumuamua itself.
This graph shows the required velocities for spacecraft to reach ‘Oumuamua with respect to mission duration and launch date.Image: Andreas M. Hein
These high speeds and long mission durations result in several other challenges as well. If it takes your spacecraft a decade or two to catch up to ‘Oumuamua, that rendezvous is going to take place way, way far away from Earth, probably in the range of 100 to 200 AU. This is about where the Voyager probes are right now, and it's not a particularly friendly environment: it's cold, it's dark, and it takes 10 or 20 hours to communicate one way.
Any probe we send out there will need nuclear power, lots of insulation, and an enormous antenna. Also, it's unlikely that a spacecraft we launch in the near future is going to have any way of slowing down once we get it going as fast as it needs to. If you take another look at the figure above, those lines are showing how fast the spacecraft will be traveling relative to ‘Oumuamua at rendezvous. With an excess velocity of something like 10 km/s, the probe will travel the length of the asteroid in about 0.05 second, which is not a lot of time for science.
Let's be optimistic here and assume that we can put together a spacecraft that'll survive decades in space and do some high quality science, which brings us back to the big question: Can we get it there? The Initiative for Interstellar Studies has a few suggestions for how we might be able to make it happen.
The first relies on boring, near-term technologies like enormous chemical rockets. Specifically, i4is has come up with a potential mission that uses the SpaceX BFR and on-orbit refueling to send a probe with a bunch of extra engine stages attached to it on an 18-month trip to Jupiter. A gravity assist would then send the probe back toward the Sun, where it would dive down to within three solar radii (in a maneuver called the "solar fryby") and fire its engines at perihelion to reach speeds of up to 70 km/s. With a 2025 launch (the SpaceX BFR is supposed to be ready to go in the early 2020s), a spacecraft using this flight profile could reach ‘Oumuamua at just 85 AU in 2039. Or, with a somewhat more gentle profile, a similar mission achieving 40 km/s velocity could intercept at 155 AU in 2051.
A slightly more interesting approach (that would take a substantial amount of research and development) suggested by i4is is a very small probe propelled by a very large laser. Based on a concept called Project Starshot, the probe would only weigh a few grams, and it would be attached to a reflective sail a few meters in diameter. From the ground, a several megawatt laser beam would be fired at the sail, and the radiation pressure would accelerate the probe at about 1g for 3,000 seconds or so, at which point it would be traveling at 55 km/s and take just seven years to reach ‘Oumuamua. The amount of science that each probe could do would be limited by its very small size, but we could send a bunch of them to compensate. Or, we could build a bigger laser to send a bigger spacecraft.
This illustration shows a swarm of reflective sails.Illustration: Adrian Mann
Andreas Hein is the lead author on the paper published by the Initiative for Interstellar Studies, and we asked him a few questions about what he thinks we might expect from a near-term mission to ’Oumuamua:
IEEE Spectrum: With the necessary political and scientific support, what would your ideal mission to ’Oumuamua look like?
Andreas Hein: The ideal mission would of course reach ’Oumuamua in no time and return maximum scientific value. Such a mission could be accomplished by a large laser beaming infrastructure such as that proposed by Project Starshot with a beaming power in the gigawatt range and a large number of CubeSat-class spacecraft with laser sails, each carrying a different scientific instrument. These CubeSats would use interplanetary CubeSat hardware that is currently under development by NASA. Electric sails that have already been deployed from CubeSats would be used for decelerating the spacecraft when they are reaching ’Oumuamua.
Is it possible to do useful science if the target is passed at a very high velocity?
Yes. Such a fly-by probe is still capable of doing useful science, as has been repeatedly demonstrated by interplanetary fly-by probes such as Voyager, Pioneer, and most recently New Horizons, sending back impressive images from Pluto. Of course, one has to take into account the relatively small size of ‘Oumuamua, which make observations more challenging than in the case of a planet or minor planet. Hence, we have also proposed a few technology options for decelerating the probe such as an electric and magnetic sail. Both would gradually brake the probe exploiting the deflection of particles from the interstellar medium from the sail.
Besides the direct scientific value of visiting an interstellar object, what other longer term scientific or technological benefits would we gain from attempting a mission like this?
First of all, the technology we develop for such a mission would enable various other types of deep space missions such as the FOCAL mission, where the Sun is turned into a giant gravity lens by placing a spacecraft at a distance of 550 astronomical units, allowing for detailed surface images of exoplanets. Furthermore, a technology such as a laser beaming infrastructure would, once available, allow other applications such as fast interplanetary travel, asteroid deflection, and ultimately interstellar missions.
Are you optimistic that an intercept is something we could achieve, or would it be more realistic to view this as an opportunity to prepare for visiting the next interstellar object?
We still have about one to two decades to launch a spacecraft that would reach ’Oumuamua after 20 to 30 years, given near-term technologies. I am therefore optimistic that a spacecraft will actually be sent to it. To my knowledge, we can currently only speculate how often such an object enters our Solar System and is in addition detectable. Hence, this could mean that if we do not send a spacecraft, we are missing a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity or maybe even a once-in-a-dozen-lifetimes opportunity.
According to NASA, an interstellar asteroid similar to ‘Oumuamua might pass through the inner solar system about once per year, although they're very hard to detect, and we have no idea when we'll spot the next one. The Initiative for Interstellar Studies will be taking a look at several mission concepts, and selecting two or three for more detailed development. You can read their paper in full here.