Illustration: Dan Page
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I log on to the Internet from my little attic office,
and I’m connected to the world, feeling both alone and
part of the largest crowd ever assembled. There are a
billion people out there on the Net with me.
The news is always full of the spammers, the
predators, the evil hackers, and the other miscreants
who would be found in any such crowd, because that’s the
way news works—it mainly tells you about the bad stuff.
Today, though, I want to talk about the wonders and
the enormous potential of this congregation of amateurs.
I never cease to be amazed at the creativity and, yes,
the generosity that has been unleashed by the social
embrace of the infrastructure that we technologists
created originally to connect our computers.
I love to hear from people who have found something on
the Web that I’ve provided. It gives me the feeling of
having reached across oceans to bestow a small gift on a
stranger, thereby dispelling our common facelessness
within the crowd. On the Internet there is an
irresistible urge to contribute.
There are many examples today of “business” models
that are enabled by our urge to be generous. I put
business in quotation marks because many of the models
are themselves acts of charity. Others make money only
as an afterthought. I recently asked the founder of a
Web site that enables people to subtitle videos what his
business model was. He replied in one word: “ubiquity.”
In the current list of the 20 most popular Web sites,
half have essentially all their content provided free by
amateurs: MySpace, YouTube, Facebook, eBay, Craigslist,
Wikipedia, Blogger, the Internet Movie Database,
Photobucket, and Flickr. They’re all examples of what
open-source guru Tim O’Reilly has termed an
“architecture of participation.” Build it, and they will come.
I am entranced by the vision that Jimmy Wales, for
example, showed in creating Wikipedia. I can’t imagine
announcing that I was establishing an encyclopedia not
by writing anything myself but just by letting anyone
come and create entries. People would have told me I was
crazy. Yet it worked so well that Wikipedia has become
one of the most popular sites on earth. You don’t need
to pay people to write articles—the thrill and
satisfaction of contributing provides the motivation.
I imagine the legion of paid professionals in the
traditional encyclopedia world looking skeptically at
the Wikipedia endeavor. “Amateurs! What do they know?”
Well, when there are a billion of them, they know pretty
much everything. Of course, there are a lot of unpaid
professionals out there, too.
Meanwhile, those billion amateurs are taking pictures
of everything on the planet and placing the images on
Flickr and other sites. There are thousands upon
thousands of pictures of every known place, taken from
all angles and under all lighting conditions.
Researchers are now using those pictures to create
three-dimensional images and panoramic vistas.
And those amateurs are writing blogs—an estimated
80 million of them. Who reads them all, I wonder? But
never mind—what a treasure trove of living news,
feelings, observations, and information! Again,
researchers are pawing through the rubbish, looking for
nuggets with such tools as sentiment analysis, asking
questions like “Is the world relatively happy today?”
The billion amateurs know the answer, and they have
found their voice.
There is no lack of free labor if the smallest
incentive is offered. I’ve heard it said that last year
people spent 9 billion hours playing computer
solitaire. (I have no idea where such a number comes
from, but we’d all agree that it’s bound to be large.)
In contrast, it is said that it required only 20 million
hours of human labor to build the Panama Canal. So if
you could offer people a game that incidentally
collected information, you’d be in business, so to
speak. One such game, ESP, in which contestants suggest
captions for pictures that they believe will agree with
captions submitted by an unknown partner, is being used
to caption pictures on the Web—a job that computers are
not yet capable of doing.
The Iowa Electronic Markets provide proof of “the
wisdom of crowds”—the idea that everybody put together
in a market is smarter than any one individual [see
“Bet on
It!” IEEE Spectrum, September]. There you can
invest in political futures, and the vibrant market of
amateurs has proven a better election predictor than the
polls run ever so scientifically by professionals.
Just think: a billion people out there willing to work
for nothing more than a little credit! Let the business
models flow!