Mallinckrodt Professor of Chemistry, Harvard University
Most Important
Technology of the Last 40 Years:
Information technology and biology.
Most Important
Technology for the Coming Decade:
Information technology and biology.
Technology That has Evolved in a Surprising Way:
The rise of globalization.
"There will be lots of pushes, from both commercial
and national security points of view, as well as from
basic science, to understand the behavior of groups of
people in the same way that we now understand the
behavior of atoms and molecules. We are moving from
isolated information about individuals—your phone and
credit card records, your DNA sequence—to a status in
which collective behavior becomes more apparent. People
will be working on going from data to information to
understanding to action.
"We live in a world in which we are constantly
surprised by what is happening. Could we have predicted
the emergence of AIDS? Can we predict the spread of
Islamic fundamentalism in Africa? Are we about to
precipitate the next Ice Age? The problem is pretty well
defined, but it is a complex system, and we don't have
the information. Within the next 10 to 20 years, we
will.
"Another area that will be interesting is the
interface between living and nonliving systems. How do
you plug your computer into your brain? We're a long way
from that, but the question of how you build interfaces
from the world of ion currents and proteins to the world
of photons and electrons will be one we pay attention
to. It is a key issue in augmenting human capabilities
and in decision making. We will also begin to get a grip
on what life is. How do you go from what we know is just
chemical reactions—to you? These are deeply exciting problems."