"China has stood
up!" With those words, Mao Zedong, speaking
from atop the Gate of Heavenly Peace to ajubilant throng
gathered in Beijing's Tiananmen Square,conjured a nation
into being on 1 October 1949. Mao,obsessed with
self-reliance and selfless egalitarianism,could hardly
have envisioned what China would looklike now.
Today, the country's heft is felt worldwide in nearly
every sector and along the entire chain of economic
activity. China's ferocious appetite for the energy and
raw materials needed to fuel its prodigious growth is
the driving force of commodity markets on every
continent. For several years running, China has been the
world's biggest consumer of coal, grain, meat, iron ore,
steel, and concrete. Once a net exporter of oil, last
year it imported half of what it consumed and 40 percent
more than in the previous year. If the global markets
for coffee and cocoa remain depressed, it's probably
because the Chinese don't have much of a taste for either.
At the other end of the manufacturing spectrum, China
has emerged as a major producer—often the major
producer—of consumer goods, ranging from clothes and
toys to televisions and personal computers. Its ability
to manufacture quickly and cheaply has,in a brief span,
conquered or disrupted national markets all over
theglobe. Case in point: China's share of the U.S.
textile market stoodat 70 percent at the end of 2004,
and textile imports from China jumpedby 40 percent after
the remaining U.S. tariffs were removed in January.The
competition, in the United States, the European Union,
and elsewhere,is left with a stark choice: match the
China price or perish.
Still, China buys almost as much as it sells. True, a
large percentage of those imports are materials and
components that it uses to assemble goods it then
exports. But China's foreign spending spree in 2004
topped US $500 billion.
The allure of the Chinese market—a chimera until very
recently—has attracted nearly every multinational on
the planet. From fast food (KFC, McDonald's) and
pharmaceuticals (Pfizer, Merck) to retailers (Carrefour,
Wal-Mart) and automobiles (General Motors, Volkswagen),
China is simply the world's hottest market, thanks to
the newly awakened Chinese consumer. Little wonder,
then, that foreign direct investment hit a record $66.5
billion last year, second only to the United States'
$121 billion. Even venture capitalists are flocking to
China looking for the next 51job.com, the leading
Chinese employment Web site, which returned $260 million
in four years on Menlo, Calif.-based Doll Capital
Management's $14 million investment.
Cash-rich Chinese companies are also moving funds in
the other direction. When a relatively unknown Chinese
TV maker called TCL, based in Guangdong province's
Huizhou, bought the TV division of France's Thomson SA,
in Boulogne, last year, it instantly became the largest
TV maker in the world [see Digital
TV's 100-Meter Dash in this issue]. And
when Chinese computer maker Lenovo Group Ltd., in
Beijing, picked up IBM Corp.'s PC division for an
estimated $1.75 billion, the symbolism was thick enough
to cut with a cleaver: China had taken possession of the
brand that was once synonymous with computers. "Will
your next boss be Chinese?" the normally reserved
conservative daily Le Figaro asked its French readers
with a mixture of alarm and awe.
Fifteen years ago, CEOs and analysts carefully weighed
the risks of doing business in China. Today, attracted
by the siren call of opportunity and driven by the fear
of being left behind, they are far more likely to be
weighing the risks of not doing business there. "Any
company that is not involved in China or doesn't have
well-developed plans in that direction is totally
asleep," Donald Straszheim, an institutional investment
consultant in Los Angeles and former chief economist for
Merrill Lynch and Co., recently told Spectrum
. "If you own shares in that company, sell them."