Consider these three industries: pharmaceuticals,
semiconductors, and software. They all have very high
R&D intensities, but each invests in R&D in its
own way, shaped by its own risks, time to market,
industrial organization, regulatory regimes, and
business models.
Pharmaceuticals companies live and die on R&D:
their R&D Intensity averages 16.4 percent. Because
the vast majority of apparently promising compounds end
up as failures, a firm must sink billions of dollars
over many years just to get one or two successes. That's
why a drug company's fortunes can turn on the result of
a single patent trial; it's also why pharmaceutical
analysts work ferociously to track R&D projects as
they snake their way through the many stages of the pipeline.
Herman Saftlas, who covers some major pharmaceutical
companies for Standard & Poor's, says most firms
highlight their pipelines much as a manufacturer might
account for back orders. Pfizer, for example, documents
its drug pipeline in detail in a special report
(http://www.pfizer.com/pipeline).
The transparency of pipelines allows analysts an
opportunity to evaluate the productivity of a firm's
R&D, and Saftlas has concluded that some firms are
simply better at getting more for their R&D buck
than others. (He notes, for instance, that Pfizer's
R&D performance has been below average for its
sector, in part because its 2003 acquisition of
Pharmacia Corp. hasn't worked out as well as it
expected; Merck, by contrast, has bettered the average.)
Firms have adjusted their R&D strategies to fit the
changing marketplace for drugs. The attrition rate for
candidate drugs has risen so high that firms are
beginning to give up hope of bringing in billions with
blockbuster drugs, and are instead settling for mere
tens of millions in niche markets. It's the difference
between, say, a Viagra and a longer-acting antihistamine
pill. The development timeline for such niches is
shorter and less risky.
Semiconductor manufacturers are putting a high and
rising share of their resources into R&D, for a
research intensity averaging 17.1 percent. Still, Clyde
Montevirgen, who covers the sector for Standard &
Poor's, says R&D is not his single most important
metric—sales are. He reasons that R&D still
constitutes a small part of overall costs, and one that
is hard to gauge because most firms jealously guard
their data, rarely talking at all about developments
that are more than a year away from the market.
Montevirgen therefore measures R&D effectiveness by
“design wins,” in which a firm announces a partnership
with a hardware device maker. For example, in August,
STMicroelectronics, No. 60 on the leaderboard, announced
that Garmin had selected STM's chips for its new range
of portable and handheld GPS and navigation devices.
Market changes since 2000 have pushed semiconductor
firms to ratchet up their R&D budgets, Montevirgen
says. Because an ever-broadening array of products
incorporate semiconductors—think PDAs, smart phones,
GPS, iPods—many in the industry hope that the market
will grow even faster than it already has. However,
Montevirgen cautions that the semiconductor industry is
a highly cyclic market and R&D spending will surely
follow the cycle. If the market turns downward, expect
R&D spending to drop back.
Jim Yin, who covers major software firms for Standard
& Poor's, puts less emphasis on R&D spending
than his two colleagues do, even though the sector's
average R&D Intensity of 17.9 percent puts it higher
than those of semiconductors and pharmaceuticals. He
looks, instead, mainly at sales.
Because R&D spending varies widely, he says, it's
hard to compare numbers across the industry. Investments
increase rapidly before a product launch and then fall
quickly afterward. A young firm spends all it has to
make its first launch, while an established firm can get
sales out of existing lines with far less R&D
investment. Software projects are notoriously prone to
late delivery, and that makes it even harder to forecast
the payoffs of R&D.
To limit the confusion, Yin focuses not on total
R&D but just on the portion budgeted for a specific
product launch he is following. He also divides software
into categories requiring differing R&D investment.
For example, a game company may need to spend more per
product because each game has features that cannot be
shared easily with others. Yin adds that Microsoft's
immense profitability allows it to place bigger R&D
bets than other firms do and to wait longer for those
bets to pay off.
So, keep the following
in mind as you review our R&D
leaderboard. R&D spending and intensity do matter,
but different industries require different R&D
investments, as do companies in different niches within
an industry and at different stages of development
within a niche. Whether a firm emphasizes quick or
long-term payoffs depends on its country, its industry,
its maturity, and its strategy. Finally, what matters
isn't how much money you spend but how wisely you spend
it. Unfortunately, our leaderboard doesn't have a column
for wisdom.