According to Bill Kuo, the director of the COSMIC
Project at UCAR, the GPS radio occultation technique
used by the COSMIC system will not suffer from any of
these problems and therefore will deliver a precise
measurement. That is because the COSMIC receivers will
measure changes in the phase and amplitude of radio
signals transmitted by GPS satellites, not changes in
radiant energy.
The vertical resolution of the receivers will vary
from about 100 meters in the lower part of the
troposphere to about 1 kilometer in the upper
troposphere and stratosphere. By contrast, traditional
weather satellites in geostationary or polar orbits use
infrared or microwave measurements and have a vertical
resolution of several kilometers. Poor vertical
resolution has been an important factor in the
uncertainties regarding initial conditions that have
plagued global weather prediction models, says Kuo.
Weather balloons carrying instrument packages
(radiosondes) are another traditional method of
gathering atmospheric data. Currently, there are more
than 850 stations taking radiosonde data around the
globe. But the instrument packages provide data of
varying quality, and although the balloons have good
vertical resolution, their horizontal resolution is
poor. What's more, radiosonde observations are generally
available only over land, leaving about 70 percent of
Earth's atmosphere, the part above the oceans,
uncovered.
In contrast, COSMIC will be able to provide 2500
soundings, distributed uniformly around the globe, per
day. Once the atmospheric data have been recorded by the
satellites, the information is downloaded to the COSMIC
ground stations in Fairbanks, Alaska, and Kiruna,
Sweden, then sent to a data analysis and archiving
center in Boulder, where it is processed and transmitted
to global weather prediction centers.
The COSMIC system is the first collaboration between
the United States and the Taiwanese National Space
Organization. It has a price tag of US $100 million for
the first two years of operations, with 80 percent of
the mission being funded by Taiwan's National Science
Council, the country's equivalent of the U.S. National
Science Foundation. NSF is the lead U.S. sponsor of
COSMIC.
COSMIC is the Taiwanese National Space Organization's
third satellite project; it is called FORMOSAT-3 in
Taiwan. The country became interested in working on the
project after the success of GPS/MET, a prototype GPS
satellite launched by UCAR in 1995. GPS/MET gathered
data for two years, proving radio occultation would
provide a basis for more accurate weather and climate
predictions.
One important reason for Taiwan's involvement is its
concern about typhoons, the most serious weather threat
facing the island. "COSMIC's soundings will tell us more
about the environment of these tropical storms and
contribute greatly to improved storm forecasts," says
Bor-Han Wu, a senior scientist with Taiwan's space
program.
According to Anthes, who initiated the collaboration
with Taiwan in 1997, "Taiwan wanted to become an
international partner in Earth system sciences."
Evidently it also sees COSMIC as a way to get into the
global business of producing Earth satellites.
Orbital Sciences Corp., of Dulles, Va., built the
prototype COSMIC satellite and the Minotaur launch
vehicle. The remaining five COSMIC microsatellites were
then produced as kits and sent to Taiwan for assembly,
with Taiwanese manufacturers contributing some of the
parts. Both Orbital Sciences and UCAR have
technology-transfer agreements approved by the U.S.
Department of State to let them carry out the
collaboration with Taiwan on the COSMIC project.